Sunday, April 16, 2017

A Scary New World

While some political parties and politicians in the US continue to either deny that 1) climate change is not real, 2) climate change is fictional and the Chinese thought of the idea (Donald Trump has apparently said this according to new reports), or 3) climate change we see today is natural and we can't do anything about it, I have to beg to different.
Most scientists (at least 97% according to one report) agree that climate change is real and caused by man.  The other 3% must be crazy or paid by some strange political parties similar to those scientists who were paid decades ago by tobacco companies to claim cigarettes do not cause cancer.
In light of reality, cheap nfl jerseys, I'd like to make a few predictions.  In 2006, I predicted the Arctic would be ice free by 2030 in summer and within six months shortened that to 2020.  We came close in 2016, but we are not there yet.
First, you can write off large mammals.  In the near future, there will be no wild elephants, giraffes, rinos (except those in the US congress that get named "RINOS" for "Republicans In Name Only"), tigers, or lions, etc.  Even pandas are in danger.  Why?  Land use change, climate change, and pressure from human populations.  I've not done the statistics, but I'm quite sure that we can't keep killing them at current rates without wiping them out completely in the lifetime of some humans alive today.
Second, the "two degree centigrade" global warming target will be passed quickly. We are already up 1 degree C.  I strongly suspect we will be up 5 degrees C by 2100, but I probably won't be around to find out since I was born in 1952.
Third, cheap snapbacks, sea level rise will soon occur much more quickly than has happened in the past.  Instead of inches (or tens of centimeters) we will be talking in meters, plural.
Lastly, stopping these changes will be impossible.  We've already committed ourselves to these changes.  The question is this.  Can we stop it from getting worse?  The answer, based on our past lack of success, is simple.  No.

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